Capital.fr
17/01/2013 à 12:15
http://www.capital.fr/bourse/actualites ... s-p-804138
Autre extrait de Bloomberg :Les prix de l'immobilier devraient baisser de 5% en France cette année et l'an prochain, la hausse du chômage et de la fiscalité pesant sur la confiance des consommateurs, estiment les économistes de l'agence de notation Standard and Poor's.
Le manque de logements en France et la progression démographique continueront cependant à soutenir le marché sur le long terme, ajoutent-ils dans une étude publiée jeudi.
"Cette année et l'an prochain, avec un taux de chômage qui devrait atteindre 10,7% en 2013, la confiance des acheteurs potentiels devrait rester faible", écrivent-ils.
Ils soulignent qu'après des hausses de prix de 10% par an en moyenne de 2000 à 2007, la baisse de 5% prévue cette année et l'an prochain est "une correction relativement bénigne".
S&P estime que les prix de l'immobilier ont baissé de 1,1% en France en 2012, après +3,7% en 2011, +7,7% en 2010 et-4,2% en 2009.
Jean-Baptiste Vey, édité par Yann Le Guernigou
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-10-2 ... tlook.html
French Housing
S&P today estimated that French house prices may fall between 10 percent and 15 percent in the next two to three years. It added, however, that “French banks will continue to benefit from sound domestic asset quality.”
France has provided more than 60 billion euros of support for three of the nation’s specialized lenders including home- loans company Credit Immobilier de France.
The move came as Europe’s second-largest economy slumps, forcing consumers to tighten their purse strings. The economic weakness, as well as low interest rates, will put pressure on French banks’ revenue in 2013 and 2014, S&P said.
Banque Solfea SA’s long-term grade was reduced one level to A- from A, according to S&P’s statement. Cofidis SA’s was cut one step to BBB+ from A-.
BNP Paribas, Cofidis and Banque Solfea were downgraded by S&P as “these groups are more vulnerable to the impact of rising economic risks in the eurozone, particularly in France and countries in southern Europe,” the ratings agency said.
Both BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole operate Italian branch networks. French banks held $540 billion in private and public debt in Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain at the end of June, the highest amount among foreign lenders, Bank for International Settlements data show.
To contact the reporter on this story: Fabio Benedetti-Valentini in Paris at fabiobv@bloomberg.net; Alan Katz in Paris at akatz5@bloomberg.net
